Independent trader achieves 33% return and never risks more than 2% on a single trade!

Ned Perry
CEO
Roko Capital Management Inc.

Ned Perry is a full-time swing trader and CEO of Roko Capital Management Inc., which specializes in trading equities on an end-of-day basis. He earned his Bachelors Degree is Political Science from Ohio State, a Graduate Degree in History from the University of Paris, and a Law Degree from the University of Pittsburgh. Prior to becoming a full-time trader he worked as an investment banker and a legal/compliance officer for 16-years with 3 investment banks while based in Asia.

Mr. Perry purchased TradingSolutions in April ’04 testing out various modeling techniques and paper trading the models before beginning live trading in August ’04. From August 10, 2004 to June 30, 2005 (the quarter just before this interview) he had a return of 33%. During this time 65% of his trades were profitable. Because he aims for a market-neutral portfolio he continually balances long and short positions and he never risks more than 2% of his account on a single trade. On average he has 30 to 40 tradable models, while having 10 to 20 positions open at any given time.

Mr. Perry was gracious enough to share some of his techniques on determining which securities to model in TradingSolutions. Using Yahoo Finance he selects a portfolio of 15-20 stocks from single industry at a time, based on the following criteria:

  • Must be publicly traded for at least 5-years
  • Not trading below $10 per share
  • Has a minimum capital of 1 billion dollars
  • Has a minimum liquidity of 100,000 shares per day back 1-year
Mr. Perry uses the Time-Lagged Recurrent Networks in TradingSolutions to model the optimal signal with a variety of indicators, including various volatility, momentum and statistical functions. One example he gave was using the Linear Regression XY and Correlation between the securities’ closing price and an index closing price as inputs into the neural network. The primary criteria that he uses to determine the validity of a model are: 1) a minimum of 20 trades per year, 2) a minimum average profit of 1 percent per trade over the past 12 months, 2) a 0.2 Sortino Ratio and 3) a 2.0 Sharpe Ratio (most important). These criteria enable him to select low-risk models that suit his style of trading. If a model falls below these standards it is either retrained or replaced with a better performing model.

Along with creating his own models, Mr. Perry has also traded previous Solution Service models such as Microchip Technology. He chose TradingSolutions because of the Solution Service performance as well as the great customer service he received during his evaluation period and continued service after purchasing TradingSolutions.

We would like to thank Mr. Perry for being so open with the details of his techniques of modeling and we wish him continued success in the future using TradingSolutions.

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Testimonials disclosure: Unique experiences and past performances do not guarantee future results! Testimonials herein are unsolicited and are non-representative of all clients; certain accounts may have worse performance than that indicated. Trading spot currencies involves substantial risk and there is always the potential for loss. Your trading results may vary. Because the risk factor is high in the foreign exchange market trading, only genuine "risk" funds should be used in such trading. If you do not have the extra capital that you can afford to lose, you should not trade in the foreign exchange market. No "safe" trading system has ever been devised, and no one can guarantee profits or freedom from loss.

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